Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 22.041539 25.030537 28.289248 32.108024 36.463539 41.280032 47.015297
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 17.650955 21.517252 26.048324 31.758901 38.776883 47.136731 57.876355
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 14.337841 18.625231 23.986794 31.203152 40.693215 52.790784 69.452684
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.075904 16.647257 22.722398 31.421382 43.618094 60.200100 84.608584
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.413324 15.183792 21.899071 32.097652 47.298760 69.281174 103.780126
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.938143 13.739714 20.875766 32.335053 50.438390 78.207140 124.551234
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.997072 12.930139 20.653040 33.738737 55.606614 91.122811 154.057476
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.003807 11.874020 19.880629 34.152456 59.306944 102.442732 183.382990
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.970738 10.580507 18.513412 33.342817 60.823998 110.432659 208.716228
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.194597 9.601125 17.522127 33.019098 63.153790 120.310846 239.660383
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.752007 9.151204 17.402864 34.283428 68.699316 137.239279 288.003576
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.417769 8.850342 17.512727 36.014991 75.509123 157.985134 348.867734
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.966626 8.261694 17.001839 36.484666 80.010279 175.302381 407.345549
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.435984 7.421377 15.844314 35.388352 80.964891 185.300780 451.911786
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.981649 6.668097 14.747269 34.230901 81.586138 194.775069 497.863417
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.665086 6.167256 14.121460 34.047470 84.500553 210.366430 563.465070
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.428104 5.809448 13.762039 34.441417 88.951956 230.801527 647.509723
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.195986 5.423892 13.272939 34.425641 92.380261 249.445261 731.861398
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.059983 5.252413 13.278708 35.699483 99.564932 279.894794 859.323207
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.888046 4.959979 12.929621 35.958476 104.012935 303.786236 973.824034
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.681640 4.541885 12.181952 34.965525 104.646634 316.772199 1057.480298
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.523013 4.226634 11.657892 34.516344 106.831529 335.027600 1164.288484
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.443417 4.119145 11.693599 35.750068 114.565921 372.716003 1350.594332